There is unnoticed opportunity in some big caps, as well as commodities futures, particularly grains, says noted technical trader and author Linda Bradford Raschke. But she cautions that some asset classes that have notched strong rallies, such as gold, may be due for a pullback.
Kate Stalter: Today we’re speaking with an advisor who is well known to many in the MoneyShow community, Linda Bradford Raschke, of LBR Group. She’s spoken at many of the MoneyShow events. In addition to being a well-known technical trader, she’s also an author on trading psychology, and we’ll talk a bit about that with her today.
Give us your take on where the strength is in the current market, and what you think individual investors need to be doing in the face of what has been going on recently.
Linda Bradford Raschke: Well, two things. I think first of all, don’t jump to conclusions that we’re in a huge bear market or huge bull market. Put things into perspective, and look where your support levels are.
We obviously just went through an extreme period, that I think we have some good selling climax in. Bearish sentiment got extremely high.
What I like to do is: When you get some type of bottom like that, look for the relative strength leaders off of those lows. If you look at the relative strength leaders coming off of that last sentiment extreme, you’ll see that there are still a lot of big-cap blue chips that really are not that far away from making new highs.
You really want to stick with relative strength in this type of market. You know, wait until there’s a washout, and then don’t try to bottom-fish the dogs, because the dogs will stay dogs.
- Read also: 4 Defensive Names Near All-Time Highs
I think there are a lot of stocks that are attractive, in terms of their dividend yields, relative to what you’re going to make on the ten-year notes right now. So, just factor that into you valuation model. Really, with interest rates at zero, if you’re getting a 3% dividend somewhere, hey, that’s not so bad.
The drug stocks are doing just fine here. I like the charts on those.
So, it’s not all doom and gloom. September historically is not known for being the greatest month, and we’ve already had a good pop up off of these lows. So, you don’t want to go chasing anything either.
But just keep in mind: if you are an investor, always have a shopping list. Always have a shopping list of stocks that you’re eyeballing, but maybe the prices aren’t attractive. Then when you do get a washout like we had, bring out your shopping list and see what is actually holding okay. So, that’s my advice.
I think that the Fed saying that we’ve got interest rates low for the next two years definitely puts a floor underneath the market. I know everybody is looking at an economic slowdown, or whatever. But, you know, statistics are statistics.
A lot of people held back from making decisions over the last two, three months, obviously for political purposes, deficit purposes, and all this stuff going on, and it keeps turning from day to day. So, temper the anxiety, number one.
Number two, stick with a methodology, which is looking for where the relative strength is. When you measure relative strength, you want to measure it from the most recent lows. See what actually starts to get lifted best off of those lows.
Then just take it one time horizon at a time. In other words, don’t try and figure out where we’re going to be a year from now. Just see what we can do for the next couple weeks.
The Nasdaq is actually right back into the middle of its trading range that it had all summer before we had that big breakdown. Definitely technology; there are some good pockets of strength there. And, like I said, the [drugmakers].
- Read also: A Smart Stock for Pet and Profit Lovers
So, just stay away from the dogs. Stay away from the stuff that’s beaten down, because it really doesn’t come back as quickly as the stuff where the real demand is.